A prospering economy raises the standard of living of the population, creates jobs and fills the state coffers, from which tasks such as education, environmental protection and social security are financed.
Growth and Business Cycle

About the topic
Over the past 60 years, the social market economy has enabled the citizens of the Federal Republic to increase their nominal income fivefold on average. Even though prosperity has grown considerably over the long term, economic setbacks have had to be endured time and again, because economic growth does not proceed uniformly, but in waves. The yardsticks for economic development include consumption, public and private investment and gross domestic product. A positive economic trend with high growth rates and increasing employment is followed by a downturn with low growth and fewer people in work.
The Institute of the German Economy monitors the current economic situation in Germany and economic developments in other countries using various instruments and regularly publishes economic forecasts. In this way, the IW helps to improve the basis for decision-making in politics and business.
German Economic Institute (IW)

Trade and Cooperation Between the EU and the Gulf States
Driven especially by the policies of US President Donald Trump, rising global economic fragmentation and geopolitical disorder have lent renewed strategic importance to the prospective free trade agreement (FTA) between the European Union (EU) and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).
Simon Gerards Iglesias / Nicolas Reeves* IW

Free and Fair Trade Club to build Middle Power Weight
This paper proposes that the EU should build a cooperation platform together with the CPTPP (Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership).
Jürgen Matthes IW

Transatlantic trade at a crossroads
As the US celebrates a quarter of a millennium of independence, transatlantic trade relations stand at a crossroads. The year 2025 was marked by the introduction of unprecedented tariffs by the US administration.
Galina Kolev-Schaefer / Samina Sultan IW

Trump’s tariffs: A deal is a deal?
This Report gives an overview of the effective import tariff rates of the US on its most important trade partners in 2025 and the first months of 2026.
Samina Sultan / Daniel Gros* / Niccolò Rotondi* IW
Our Experts

Prof. Dr. Michael Grömling
Head of Macroeconomic and the Business Cycle Research Group
Tel: +49 221 4981-776 Mail: groemling
Prof. Dr. Galina Kolev-Schaefer
Senior Economist for Trade Policy and Foreign Economic Activity
Tel: +49 221 4981-774 Mail: kolev
Jürgen Matthes
Head of International Economic Policy, Financial and Real Estate Markets Research Unit
Tel: +49 221 4981-754 Mail: matthes
Dr. Klaus-Heiner Röhl
Senior Economist for SME Policy and Regional Policy
Tel: +49 30 27877-103 Mail: roehlAll news
Expert Workshop on the Industrial Accelerator Act
The German Economic Institute (IW) and Frontier Economics are pleased to invite you to a rapporteur & stakeholder workshop on the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA) in Brussels.
The Honesty-Attitude-Behavior Gap: A Cross-Country Comparison
Honesty reduces transaction costs and is therefore a prerequisite for effective economic cooperation.
Online-Veranstaltungsreihe „Von Brüssel nach Berlin”: Regionalentwicklung und Industriepolitik
Wir laden Sie herzlich zu einer weiteren Online-Veranstaltung unserer Veranstaltungsreihe „Von Brüssel nach Berlin“ ein. Mit ihr wollen wir in loser Folge Themen aus der europäischen in die deutsche Hauptstadt tragen.
Complementary Capabilities for Circular Practices: Firm-Level Evidence in Germany on the Role of Digitalization and Innovation
The transition to a circular economy (CE) requires firms to reconfigure business models, processes and capabilities.
Making Apprenticeships a Success: From Marketing to Hiring
In-company vocational training is a key factor in securing skilled labour. The first step in investing in future employees is to approach and recruit new apprentices. For many companies, filling the apprenticeship positions they offer is a challenge.
Transatlantic Subnational Innovation Competitiveness Index 3.0
Innovation and competitiveness drive productivity, economic growth, and welfare growth.
GTIPA Perspectives: Making AI Policy to Drive Innovation
Germany’s federal structure leads to a diverse landscape of AI policies across the country. While the EU AI Act establishes a general framework for AI policy throughout the continent, Germany’s federal government is responsible for national AI policies.
AI skills demand in the EU
More and more companies in Europe are using artificial intelligence (AI) technologies. In 2025, one in five companies in the EU with 10 employees or more used at least one major AI technology, up from 8% in 2023 (Eurostat, 2026a).
European Minimum Wage Directive and Strengthening Collective Bargaining Coverage
The EU Minimum Wage Directive recommends that EU Member States achieve a collective bargaining coverage of 80 per cent to ensure adequate minimum wages.
Critical Raw Materials: Corporate Exposure, Supply Risks and Adaptation Strategies
Critical raw materials are vital inputs for key technologies and thus for industrial competitiveness.
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